Gold and Silver Outlook: Prices Recoup Early Losses Amid “Iran War” Volatility

Gold and silver prices in India staged a notable recovery on Monday, March 30, following a volatile morning session. Despite hitting an intraday low of ₹1,44,212, MCX gold rebounded sharply to touch a high of ₹1,49,250, marking a recovery of over ₹5,000 from its lows.

Also Read |Tamil Nadu Voter List Purge: 97 Lakh Names Deleted in SIR Phase 1

This rollercoaster price action comes as the market grapples with the steepest monthly decline since 2008. Gold has lost approximately 15% of its value this March, primarily due to a resurgent US Dollar following the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran on February 28.

Intraday Market Snapshot (March 30, 2026)

The “Inflation vs. Interest Rate” Tug-of-War

The ongoing conflict in West Asia has created a complex economic backdrop for precious metals:

• The Oil Shock: Houthi attacks and the widening US-Iran war have sent crude oil prices soaring. While this usually makes gold a popular inflation hedge, it has also killed hopes for US Federal Reserve rate cuts.

• Rate Hike Fears: Traders now see a “zero chance” of rate cuts this year. Instead, some analysts are bracing for a Fed rate hike to combat energy-driven inflation, which heavily pressures non-yielding assets like gold and silver.

• The Dollar Strength: The USD has gained over 2% since the conflict began, making gold more expensive for Indian buyers and leading to “fear-based” liquidations earlier this month.

Also Read |Tamil Nadu Voter List Purge: 97 Lakh Names Deleted in SIR Phase 1

Key Support and Resistance Levels

Market experts suggest the near-term bias remains “cautiously positive” as long as key floors hold:

• Gold (MCX): Immediate support is seen at ₹1,43,000. On the upside, a sustained move above ₹1,50,000 is required to trigger a fresh bullish rally toward ₹1,58,000.

• Silver (MCX): Resistance is pegged at ₹2,32,000. If prices break below ₹2,20,000, they could quickly slide toward the ₹2,05,000 structural support zone.

Investigative Insight: Central Bank Liquidations

While Indian households have started “bargain-hunting” due to softer prices, a major headwind has emerged from global central banks. For the first time in years, some major economies have reportedly begun liquidating gold reserves to boost liquidity and counter the massive economic shocks caused by the Iran war. This shift from “buyers” to “sellers” by institutional giants has removed a critical safety net that previously supported gold’s record-breaking run in 2025.

Also Read |Tamil Nadu Voter List Purge: 97 Lakh Names Deleted in SIR Phase 1

End….

The post Gold and Silver Outlook: Prices Recoup Early Losses Amid “Iran War” Volatility first appeared on Business League.